Groundbreaking Fusion Result – the Good News and the Bad News
The promise of super-abundant very low carbon energy generation has spurred tremendous scientific and engineering efforts, aiming to generate and tap into the incredible forces of nuclear fusion, in the face of daunting technical challenges. It’s been 90 years since nuclear fusion was first experimentally demonstrated in the lab and 84 years since the very first failed attempt to build a fusion reactor. For decades the ‘Holy Grail Quest’ for fusion power researchers has been to trigger fusion ignition that exceeds the energy break-even point under controlled conditions.
(To listen to this article – scroll down to the end & click play on the embedded video)
The Good News:
So, there’s been justified excitement over a recent experimental fusion breakthrough at the US National Ignition Facility (NIF), where – for the first time ever – a research team managed to get more energy output from a fusion reaction than the energy input to start it.
- Image above: Firing lasers to ignite fusion at NIF. Credit: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
- Top, featured image: An earlier test shot at NIF. Credit: Don Jedlovec.
In a process called ‘intertial confinement fusion’ (ICF) scientists used an array of 192 UV lasers to hit a pea-sized gold-plated cylinder containing a diamond–coated capsule of frozen deuterium and tritium (D-T) with 2.05 megajoules of energy; roughly equivalent to two one-ton trucks – each moving at 100mph – colliding head-on.
The gold walls of the cylinder convert the UV to X-rays, and that X-ray pulse collapsed the capsule with a massive pressure wave that raised the fuel mix temperature to over 150 million degrees celsius – ten times hotter than the Sun’s core. This ignited reactions that fused the D-T hydrogen isotopes into helium, and released 3.15 megajoules of output energy; 54% more energy than the initial pulsed laser input.
This is a genuine milestone – a practical ‘proof of possibility’ for fusion science – however some pundits have hailed this positive breakthrough as the beginning of a clean fusion power generating revolution, which brings us to..
The Bad News:
Unfortunately, there is still a long way to go before nuclear fusion generation begins powering human civilization.
– The NIF device itself:
Firstly, the NIF device was never designed to operate as an efficient commercial power generator, instead the design team focused on creating the largest laser array they could build – to provide data for the USA’s nuclear weapons stockpile research programme. NIF’s 192 lasers drank up 322 megajoules of energy in the process of generating a laser ignition pulse that was less than 1/150th of that power.
To demonstrate that laser array ICF fusion could be a viable method of energy production, the overall yield efficiency (energy out vs energy in) would have to jump up by two or three orders of magnitude. Also, the pulse rate of the laser array would have to increase dramatically, and the NIF device would need a major redesign – with mechanisms to quickly clear the target chamber and rapidly replace the fuel cylinder target.
– The extreme scarcity of tritium:
Secondly, it’s true that there are several different fusion reactor designs currently in research and development, including the US$22billion International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) – a giant multi-national tokamak reactor that will use magnetic confinement to contain its super-heated reaction plasma within its toroidal (donut-shaped) vacuum chamber. However, what most current reactor designs have in common with both ITER and the NIF device is the D-T fuel mix they use, and that presents a major problem, because tritium is extremely rare.
- Above image: 3-D diagram of the ITER fusion reactor. Credit: (c) ITER Organisation, http://www.iter.org
The most common isotope of hydrogen (protium) has a single lone proton for its nucleus, whereas the stable isotope deuterium has a nucleus containing one proton and one neutron. Deuterium is reasonably abundant; roughly 1 in 5,000 hydrogen atoms in Earth’s oceans are deuterium.
In contrast, tritium has one proton and two neutrons in its nucleus and is extremely rare on Earth, with only trace amounts found in the atmosphere, arising from cosmic ray bombardment. Tritium’s rarity is exacerbated because it is unstable – it undergoes beta decay, with a radioactive half life of only 12.3 years.
So, there’s only about 25kg (55lbs) of usable tritium on Earth right now, and that global stockpile is expected to peak below 30kg before 2030, after which it will decline. This is because the majority of the world’s tritium supply occurs as a by-product from the ageing fleet of Canada Deuterium Uranium nuclear fission reactors. There are less than twenty of these CANDU reactors still in active use (in Canada and S.Korea), and many are due to be de-commissioned over the next four decades. Furthermore, ITER is expected to consume 1kg of tritium per year, once it begins running D-T experiments.
- Above diagram: Deuterium – tritium (D-T) fusion emits helium, neutrons & energy. Credit: adapted from Wikimedia Commons
Despite tritium’s scarcity, D-T remains a popular fusion fuel, because D-T fusion reactions can be ignited in lab conditions at the relatively “low” temperature of 150 million Celsius. There are alternative fusion fuel mixes, such as: deuterium and helium3 which can be made to undergo fusion at 200 million celsius, but helium3 is also extremely rare at only 1 per 1,000,000 of the helium atoms in Earth’s atmosphere.
Alternatively, common hydrogen (protium) and boron are plentiful and they will undergo fusion together, forming common helium4, but it requires a temperature of 1 billion degrees celsius to ignite their fusion reaction – and humanity has never built a reactor to run at such an extremely high temperature.
Hence, the hope for future D-T fusion power plants is pinned on two measures:
Firstly, the efficient recapture and recycling of the 99% of tritium that does not undergo fusion in any given “burn”. This is a serious challenge in itself, because tritium is notorious for permeating and leaking out of metal-walled containment.
Secondly, breeding more tritium inside the fusion reactor itself – to achieve this the toroidal plasma vessel will be lined with a lithium “blanket” – because when lithium is struck by neutrons (emitted by D-T fusion) it’s split into tritium and helium.
Unfortunately, D-T fusion alone won’t produce enough neutrons for purpose, so designers are incorporating neutron multipliers into the plasma vessel’s lithium “blanket” – neutron multipliers such as beryllium, which emits two neutrons for every one it absorbs.
And there’s the rub: Tritium breeding like this is still untested, but it’s a ‘mission critical’ challenge that must be met, otherwise D-T fusion technology could ‘fizzle out’ before it ever provides commercially viable power.
To listen to this article click play on the video below:
See also:
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-04440-7
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_nuclear_fusion
https://www.science.org/content/article/fusion-power-may-run-fuel-even-gets-started
https://physicstoday.scitation.org/do/10.1063/PT.6.2.20221213a/full/
https://youtu.be/yixhyPN0r3g